The Context - Rapid Global Change
In a rapidly changing world, subject to the forces of globalization, sustainability requires a concerted, proactive effort. On the local level, cities, sub-communities, and neighborhoods must have the foresight to adapt to these changes before crises are upon them— or face serious economic and social consequences.
The Mission - Sustainable Society
We keep abreast of the latest global trends from a perspective based in systems theory and geoscience and apply that knowledge to your city or community organization. Upon request, we give customized presentations to your group or group’s leadership to assist them in seeing the impacts that current events will have in their circle of responsibility. We detail those things in the immediate future that must be planned for to retain the quality of services that they find important or essential. Our primary interests are sustainable society and a sustainable future. We conduct research and educate the public towards making that a reality.
The MoodCompass Project
Global risk and hazard forecasting in the areas of socioeconomic, geopolitical and environmental instability using oscillations in social mood and perception-- The MoodCompass.
Research Sponsors only: MoodCompass July 2010
Mood Compass Archives:
2010: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2009: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008: Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul July-Supplement Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
A Brief Write-up on our Research and Methodology can be found HERE.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HISTORY:
Originally developed to monitor social instability developments by forecasting changes the stock market, crude oil, and the U.S. Dollar (via oscillations of social mood).
Previous Name: Futures Markets Forecasting Project
Independent testing of "Market Mood Oscillator" 1/3/08 through 1/2/09:
Third Party Assessment of Forecasting Model.
Results of research, 2nd half 2007 Briefing Handouts
Phase Two (a blog results):
The Crow's Nest 
A look out for social, economic, and environmental storms on the horizon.
Phase One:
Letter regarding conclusion of Phase One
Click Here for Phase One forecasts and archives.
We have expanded our research into the area of the futures markets. Although our primary interest is in social stability, there may be indicators of social vulnerabilities we can glean from activities in the markets. Just as the health of the environment will be evident in effects on its inhabitants (e.g. society), what is occurring in a society will be visible in the economy. By being able to spot economic trends we should be better able to spot areas of potential social instability. See Research Summary.
Using the changes we see in the collective mood factors for U.S and global society, we find the likely mood changes for the following month and quarter. We then determine the likely changes in the market from the oscillations of these mood factors. These are presented in an experience-near multimedia format in The Crow's Nest blog.
